sidelined

Here are the tips – note to readers that both the punters and I are on 50 points each. (Tip ratio / Price) Home Draw Away (Price / Tip ratio) (23% / $2.35) Bombers Eagles ($1.55 / 77%) (65% / $1.77) Hawks Swans ($1.97 / 34%) (45% / $1.87) Blues Power ($1.87 / 55%) (60% [...]

I’m currently preparing to go to the SCG on Saturday night, to see Essendon play Sydney. I expect that we Bombers fans are going to have a sad night, but for undying fans like myself hope always springs eternal. At least until the final change. This week the tipping and punting looks like this: (Tip [...]

According to a poll of 57 Sideliners, taken over some weeks, and left to run for ages because nobody thought of a better poll! The question was, ‘the true national winter sport of Australia is …’ The answer ‘Australian Rules, because it’s truly national’, scored 13 votes. Only three Sideliners answered ‘Australian Rules, because the [...]

When I started doing this, it was partly to keep a record of the reliability of bookies’ odds. I wanted to do this to (a) test the strength of such predictions and (b) see if the bookies’ odds could be believed in other fields, such as tipping Federal elections. Keen readers of other blogs, the [...]

Here’s the fixture: (96% / $1.10) Crows Tigers ($6.50 / 4%) (46% / $1.80) Bombers Lions ($1.94 / 54%) (88% / $1.36) Cats Dockers ($3.00 / 12%) (36% / $2.20) Hawks Saints ($1.62 / 64%) (86% / $1.53) Kangaroos Blues ($2.40 / 14%) (64% / $1.65) Swans Power ($2.15 / 36%) (48% / $1.80) Bulldogs [...]

Well, here we are, in the middle of a most even competition. That is, unless you are West Coast, who are much more even than other people, or Port, who are quite a bit more even than most. Or the hapless Tigers or Demons, of whom the less is said the better. Having decided that [...]

The moral of the story is that tipping home games does not work. Witness the results: (70%) Saints (18.17 125) Blues (11.16 82) (30%) (78%) Bombers (15.6 96) Hawks (20.11 131) (22%) (93%) Eagles (10.17 77) Bulldogs (9.8 62) (7%) (18%) Kangaroos (16.15 111) Swans (14.11 95) (82%) (84%) Crows (9.8 62) Magpies (11.20 86) [...]

OK, it’s been a shite week in what passes for my personal life. Nothing particularly bad, just lots of dark and dreary thoughts. So I really can’t be bothered psychoanalysing football teams and have opted to conduct a home game experiment, which means ticking every team on the left hand side: (Tip ratio / Price) [...]

(82%) Bombers (11.13 79) Magpies (12.23 95) (18%) (85%) Power (14.12 96) Saints (6.7 43) (15%) (6%) Tigers (11.10 76) Eagles (14.15 99) (94%) (35%) Blues (18.16 124) Lions (21.10 136) (65%) (97%) Swans (17.7 109) Demons (8.12 60) (3%) (35%) Hawks (13.15 93) Bulldogs (16.14 110) (65%) (87%) Cats (15.12 102) Kangaroos (18.10 118) [...]

Enough about tipping. It’s the ANZAC week, and that always stirs my emotions. I will spend the morning laying a wreath and then will come home to watch the Essendon-Collingwood game. It’s a day James Hird has made his own, and as it may be the last season we will ever see him play, it’s [...]