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NRL round 4 preview and tips

April 3rd, 2008 by Shaun · 17 Comments

First off, doesn’t Nathan Brown have a great perspective on life? Dumped as coach of the Dragons his outlook was positive and a credit to him. And he was right. Bennett is a great snare for the red and whites. They would have been mad to pass him up.

And the coaching merry go round continues with the Raiders’ Neil Henry heading up to Townsville to replace Graham Murray. Check out Roy Masters column from earlier in the week on the topic of coaches and players breaking contracts to move to other clubs. He speaks some wisdom.

And speaking of wisdom, tips for the week are over the fold.

Melbourne Storm v Brisbane Broncos, Friday 7:30pm Olympic Park

Are the Storm really on the decline or is just an early season glitch? Hard to say but the Storm are off their game. The Broncos however are in fine form, running out to 3-0 and looking good doing so. The last time these two teams met, the Storm blitzed the Broncos. But I don’t think it will happen in this game. A bit of added spice with Israel Folau coming up against his new club. The Broncos are really good value in this game so they get some money from me and the tip.

Canterbury Bankstown Bulldogs v Sydney Roosters, Friday 7:30pm ANZ Stadium

Sure to be a genteel affair in which the chaps from both teams will have a jolly good time on the field and then sit down for a cup of tea in NRL camaraderie after the game. And the Panthers will win the premiership. Look, this game promises all sorts of action. The Bulldogs are filthy on Mason and their fans even less enamoured of the Walking Headline. The opening salvos from both teams will intense and not for the faint-hearted. I can’t wait for this game. The Dogs just don’t have the consistency in the halves at the moment and that will hurt them. The Roosters for me.


St George Dragons/Illawarra
v Cronulla Sharks, Saturday 5:30pm ANZ Stadium

Not sure why the Dragons are favourites. They have been ordinary while the Sharks have been steely in defense with wins over both last year’s grand finalists. But as the Titans showed, if you put some points on the Sharks they have no reply. If Jamie Soward fires then I can see the Dragons getting this game. I was leaning to the Sharks but I might just give the Dragons some love here.

Gold Coast Titans v Canberra Raiders. Saturday 7:30pm Skilled Park

The Raiders will be out of sorts with some disillusionment over Henry heading to Townsville. Plus the Raiders do not like travelling. Factor in that the Titans have taken a liking to Skilled Park, I don’t see much joy in the this game for the Green Machine. The Titans will be sure things at home.

North Queensland Cowboys v Parramatta Eels, Saturday 9:30pm Dairy Farmers Stadium

The Eels don’t like the run north. But what better time to go up there with the Cowboys none from three? North Queensland have look disinterested on the field. It is hard to gauge whether they will try to do something for Graham Murray or just meander till Henry comes on board. It is a danger game for Parra as they have been patchy so far. But when they get it right, the Eels show glimpses of great things. If Parra cuts out the dumb mistakes and get a roll on, they will be hard to stop. You know how I’m gonna tip.

Manly Sea Eagles v South Sydney Rabbitohs, Sunday 3:00pm Brookvale Oval

What is up with the Bunnies? After a good 2007 they have turned the clock back to 2006. And with Manly on a high after Monday’s thumping of the Warriors they are on a hiding to nothing. The Bunnies will try hard for the first 30 minutes or so but will then become road kill. If Hasler is smart then Lyon will never wear the number 6 again. He was on song back in the centres and will bag a few tries against the poor bunnies.

New Zealand Warriors v Newcastle Knights, Sunday 2:00pm Mt Smart Stadium

The Knights have been playing out of their skins. Unlucky against the Eels, they will go to New Zealand feeling confident. While the Warriors are always tough at home, if there is any mental scarring from Monday’s drubbing they will be in danger of losing at home. But there is that unpredictability about the Warriors that sits in the back of your mind when tipping. The Knights are not bad value as Amanda has said. Hedge your bets. Tip the Warriors but throw a tenner on the Knights.

West Tigers v Penrith Panthers, Monday 7:00pm Campbelltown Sports Stadium

The battle of the big cats! The Tigers seemed to run out of puff against the Dogs while Penrith chalked up (just) a much needed win. Still I can’t see the Panthers coming away with the points here. The Tigers have the form on the board and I like them in this game. The mountain men will go home empty handed on Monday night.

Shaun’s Sure Thing: Back on track after tipping the Broncos. Staying in Queensland and putting the moolah on the Titans.

The Roughy: Actually roughies for this week. Amanda is right in that the Knights are worth a few bob against the Warriors at $2.55. But also have a look at Brisbane who are at $2.60 at the moment (Thursday evening).

Good luck with your tips and may your team win (unless it is the Cowboys).

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Tags: Rugby League

17 responses so far ↓

  • Gravatar

    Bismark O'Measles // Apr 3, 2008 at 9:32 pm

    Well… I for one can’t wait for Friday night! Poor old SBW was completely out of sorts (very nervous) on the footy show while WM talked up the vitriol.. I’m with Sahun – don’t miss a second of the first ten minutes while both sides bash the wind out of each others sails!

    When do you stop tipping the Bunnies? I’m 100 pct sure that if I stop tipping them, they’ll start winning. I’m going for them again this week… NOT! (ye gods Bismark… what are you saying)

    I think I’m with you on all of the above except the Eels… sorry.

    It’s going to be a great weekend for many reasons – I’m particularly looking forward to young Kylie’s bash on Sunday.

    Good luck punting-types

    .. oh.. and welcome Luke Lewis ! You’re the first of many to desert that particular sinking cat.

  • Gravatar

    Mungo Amanda // Apr 4, 2008 at 7:54 am

    The Warriors are getting trounced, the Knights are winning or being pipped, the Knights have a 7-3 record of wins at Mt Smart. And yet, all the tipsters in the SMH, you and the bookies are going Warriors.

    This Sydney centric conspiracy is getting a bit obvious! Sweet evil jesus, at least try and be a bit subtle about it.

  • Gravatar

    Mungo Amanda // Apr 4, 2008 at 7:57 am

    Mine:
    BRONCOS
    BULLDOGS
    DRAGONS
    TITANS
    COWBOYS
    RABBITS
    KNIGHTS
    WEST TIGERS

  • Gravatar

    Shaun // Apr 4, 2008 at 8:08 am

    Oh, you should be used to it by now. Anyway, you’re a Knights fan so you are biased and do not possess my clear eyed view of the game.

  • Gravatar

    Shaun // Apr 5, 2008 at 4:28 pm

    Right, the Broncos have taken my money so boo to them. The Storm are back on track and Slater is a freak according to the textacular stylings of one Mr O’Measles (remember daylight savings ends tomorrow).

    Mr O’Measles also felt dirty for tipping the Roosters. Natch, the response was you coulda been feeling worse for tipping the Bulldogs.

    Alas, I won’t be able to watch the Eels tonight as me cricket club’s preso is on. I’m sure I will find a TV somewhere at the club that will have the game and sneak a look.

  • Gravatar

    Shaun // Apr 5, 2008 at 4:34 pm

    Offtopic but BSG is back on the air in the US. You know what to do.

  • Gravatar

    Bismark O'Measles // Apr 5, 2008 at 6:09 pm

    So I understand – S4.

    Can I help you to a serving of S3??

    oh….. Go Sharks!

  • Gravatar

    Bismark O'Measles // Apr 5, 2008 at 6:10 pm

    Bum. Dragoons just scored.

  • Gravatar

    Bismark O'Measles // Apr 5, 2008 at 6:18 pm

    Hang on…. Game on !!!!!!!

  • Gravatar

    Bismark O'Measles // Apr 5, 2008 at 6:29 pm

    Sweet.

    I take back all those things I said about Luke Covell.

  • Gravatar

    Shaun // Apr 6, 2008 at 8:10 am

    Stupid Eels.

  • Gravatar

    Mungo Amanda // Apr 6, 2008 at 7:19 pm

    Stupid kiwis.

  • Gravatar

    Bismarck O'Measles // Apr 7, 2008 at 10:19 am

    Hmmmm….

    Nathan Merritt was, in one player, Souths best hope and Souths worst enemy.

    There were one or two moments there when you had an incling they might just score – invariably NM had the ball at these times but the penalty that failed to find touch and then the tackle that failed to stop Brett Stewart probably ranks amongst the worst “hang-head-say-’oh..f&^%ck’” ever to this seasoned Bunny-watcher.

    Put it this way.. I have some freebies to see the Sharks at ANZ with No.3 son next week and I’m in two minds whether to go or not.

    Can it be .. surely not .. that seasoned campaigner JT has built his team around one player – that being the round one R.Brown (gag) prowler victim??

    They need to do some SERIOUS work if they’re going to salvage any games out of this season – good teams are emerging left right and centre and this season, so full of hope, will drill real nails into the Crowe/a Court dream. At this rate they’ll be lucky to swizz 4 games out of the season.

    On a ligfhter note… I’ve just tipped 6 out of 7 (would have been 7 had I not listened to our esteemed host).

    Go Tigers.

    BOM

  • Gravatar

    Shaun // Apr 7, 2008 at 11:18 am

    Watch what you say or Reggie gets given to the cat.

  • Gravatar

    Shaun // Apr 7, 2008 at 9:45 pm

    And the Tigers complete the round by getting flogged by the Panthers. Consistency is going out the window.

  • Gravatar

    Bismark O'Measles // Apr 7, 2008 at 9:56 pm

    Oh joy.

    This season’s killing me.

  • Gravatar

    Club Troppo » Missing Link Daily // Jul 22, 2008 at 3:38 am

    [...] Apathetic sarah anticipates another triumph of ineptitude when Seven covers the Beijing Olympics 22. GT: As a fan of inept sports commentary, I’ve always found Seven’s Olympics coverage quite enjoyable [?]. Shaun’s NRL predictions for Round 4. [...]

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